Armenia 2012: Achajur, Goris, Akner, Barekamavan and Dilijan, Turnout Charts Explained
By 11:00 Achajur reported 1,801 voters for a list of 1,468, one every 6 seconds. Three hours later the count was 379.
Original page on electionscount.info: “Negative” participation, 2012On 6 May 2012 the official turnout of these polling stations went down between two reports, which cannot happen in a real count: each report includes everyone who voted since 8:00. The monitoring site drew a chart for each such station from the turnout published by elections.am. They are among the 20 stations with "negative" participation in 2012.
How to read these charts
The chart has three panels, all for the same polling station and the same four reporting times (11:00, 14:00, 17:00, 20:00):
- Left: the average number of seconds one voter spent at the station in each 3-hour window (10,800 seconds divided by the voters in that window). Low = fast; 0 = the count went down.
- Middle: how many people voted in each 3-hour window. A triangle below the red line is a negative number, an impossible decrease.
- Right: the cumulative turnout reported at each hour (blue) against the number of registered voters (purple line). Red labels mark the reports that broke the rules.
Station 37/02, Goris
Preschool No. 2, 7 Komitas Street. Registered voters: 1,996.
How to read this chart
Left: seconds per voter in each 3-hour window. Middle: voters in each window (below the red line = a decrease). Right: reported turnout (blue) against the 1,996 registered voters (purple).
What it shows
A large station with 1,996 voters. Between 14:00 and 17:00, 546 people voted, one every 19.8 seconds. The final count was 1,233, 17 fewer than the 1,250 reported at 17:00.
| Window | Reported turnout at the end | Voters in the window | Seconds per voter |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:00–11:00 | 363 | 363 | 29.8 |
| 11:00–14:00 | 704 | 341 | 31.7 |
| 14:00–17:00 | 1,250 | 546 | 19.8 |
| 17:00–20:00 | 1,233 | -17 | — |
Station 37/18, Akner (Sisian)
School building. Registered voters: 782.
How to read this chart
Left: seconds per voter in each 3-hour window. Middle: voters in each window (below the red line = a decrease). Right: reported turnout (blue) against the 782 registered voters (purple).
What it shows
The count rose steadily to 700 at 17:00, with 260 votes between 14:00 and 17:00, and then the final count was 695, five fewer.
| Window | Reported turnout at the end | Voters in the window | Seconds per voter |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:00–11:00 | 165 | 165 | 65.5 |
| 11:00–14:00 | 440 | 275 | 39.3 |
| 14:00–17:00 | 700 | 260 | 41.5 |
| 17:00–20:00 | 695 | -5 | — |
Station 40/24, Barekamavan
Street 1, building 5, secondary school. Registered voters: 454.
How to read this chart
Left: seconds per voter in each 3-hour window. Middle: voters in each window (below the red line = a decrease). Right: reported turnout (blue) against the 454 registered voters (purple).
What it shows
The 17:00 report was 3 lower than the 14:00 one (213 to 210); then 65 people voted in the last three hours, for a final 275.
| Window | Reported turnout at the end | Voters in the window | Seconds per voter |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:00–11:00 | 47 | 47 | |
| 11:00–14:00 | 213 | 166 | 65.1 |
| 14:00–17:00 | 210 | -3 | — |
| 17:00–20:00 | 275 | 65 | 166.2 |
Station 40/39, Achajur
House of Culture. Registered voters: 1,468.
How to read this chart
Left: seconds per voter in each 3-hour window. Middle: voters in each window (below the red line = a decrease). Right: reported turnout (blue) against the 1,468 registered voters (purple).
What it shows
The station had 1,468 voters. The 11:00 report said 1,801 had already voted, 333 more than the whole list, one voter every 6 seconds from the moment the station opened. At 14:00 the count was 379, 1,422 fewer. It then rose to 650 at 17:00 and 940 at 20:00.
| Window | Reported turnout at the end | Voters in the window | Seconds per voter |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:00–11:00 | 1,801 | 1,801 | 6.0 |
| 11:00–14:00 | 379 | -1,422 | — |
| 14:00–17:00 | 650 | 271 | 39.9 |
| 17:00–20:00 | 940 | 290 | 37.2 |
Station 41/05, Dilijan
Basic School No. 6, 131 Kamo Street. Registered voters: 1,111.
How to read this chart
Left: seconds per voter in each 3-hour window. Middle: voters in each window (below the red line = a decrease). Right: reported turnout (blue) against the 1,111 registered voters (purple).
What it shows
Turnout rose to 351 at 17:00 and the final count was 342, nine fewer. Between 11:00 and 14:00 only 60 people voted, so the speed line jumps to 180 seconds.
| Window | Reported turnout at the end | Voters in the window | Seconds per voter |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:00–11:00 | 141 | 141 | 76.6 |
| 11:00–14:00 | 201 | 60 | 180.0 |
| 14:00–17:00 | 351 | 150 | 72.0 |
| 17:00–20:00 | 342 | -9 | — |
Why it matters
A report that falls means that at least one of the station's official numbers is false: either voters were announced who had not come, or the final protocol was cut back. When the fall is followed by hundreds of votes at a speed of 10–20 seconds per voter, or when a report exceeds the number of registered voters, the numbers point to signatures and ballots added on paper. See polling station capacity and the method of comparing election numbers.
Data and sources on this site
From the book
This article is based on Chapters IV and VI of Electoral Rights and Election Falsification by Lyudvig Khachatryan, which explains the full method, the formulas and the cases behind it.