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Armenia 2018: Turnout and Voting Speed at All 2,010 Polling Stations

In the snap election of December 2018 turnout fell to 48.63% and the speeds relaxed.

Original page on electionscount.info: Turnout and voting speed table, 2018

On 9 December 2018, 2,010 polling stations had 2,592,479 registered voters and 1,260,840 participants, a turnout of 48.63%. By 3-hour window: 201,250 voted before 11:00, 434,805 between 11:00 and 14:00, 388,947 between 14:00 and 17:00 and 235,838 after 17:00.

In the snap election of December 2018 turnout fell to 48.63% and the speeds relaxed: only 3 stations registered voters faster than the limit, all small villages with one table, and the typical station took about 81 seconds per voter per table in its busiest hours, against 67 in 2017. The morning was unusually quiet: only 16% of voters came before 11:00, a December morning.

Histogram of polling stations in 2018 by seconds per voter per registration table in their busiest 3 hours.
Polling stations in 2018 by the speed of their busiest 3 hours (chart made from the table). Open the original table.

How to read this chart

Each bar counts the polling stations whose busiest 3 hours fell in a 10-second range. Left = fast, right = slow. The red line is the 44-second limit for one registration table.

What it shows

135 stations were faster than 60 seconds and 3 faster than 44. The bulk of stations sits well to the right of the line.

Stations above physical capacity

StationCommunityVotersTurnoutMost in 3 hoursTablesSeconds per voter per table
20/52Azat77687.11%322133.5
34/73Karashen89078.65%314134.4
20/54Norabak69478.53%270140.0

Counts that went down

At 4 stations a later report showed fewer voters than an earlier one: 23/18 Vanadzor (town) (76, 135, 381, -182); 25/18 Dzoramut (39, 59, 90, -20); 36/13 Rind (66, 302, 457, -166); 37/27 Berkaber (53, 115, 161, -61). The four numbers are the voters in each 3-hour window; a negative number is impossible in a real count. See all such cases.

The capacity rule used here. Registering one voter at one table, checking the ID and handing out the ballot and envelope takes at least about 44 seconds. The Electoral Code (Article 64) gives each polling station at least one registration member per 1,000 voters, so a station with up to 1,000 voters is counted as having one table, up to 2,000 voters two tables. The "seconds per voter per table" figure is the station's fastest 3-hour average multiplied by its number of tables. Below 44 seconds, the reported turnout is faster than the station could physically register people.

Original turnout reports for 2018, as downloaded from elections.am: 11:00, 14:00, 17:00, 20:00.

From the book

This article is based on Chapter VI of Electoral Rights and Election Falsification by Lyudvig Khachatryan, which explains the full method, the formulas and the cases behind it.

Read the book on Amazon

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