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Armenia 2003 Parliamentary Elections: Results, Thresholds and 10,424 Inaccuracies

Six parties passed 5%; the seventh was about 4,700 votes short. The protocols contained 10,424 inaccuracies at 587 stations.

Original page on electionscount.info: The Electoral Rights and Falsifications of Elections (2010, PDF), p. 41

In the parliamentary elections of May 2003, 1,197,075 people took part, according to the CEC. Twenty-one parties and alliances stood for the 75 party-list seats.

Horizontal bar chart: 2003 party-list votes and seats: Republican Party 270,829 (23), Justice 160,796 (14), Rule of Law 146,035 (12), ARF 130,596 (11), National Unity 103,938 (9), United Labour 67,863 (6), next party 53,909.
Party-list votes and seats (chart made from the figures in the book). Open the book at this page (PDF).

How to read this chart

Each bar is a list’s votes; the label gives its seats. The dashed line is the 5% threshold, calculated, as the law required, on all votes for lists plus the official inaccuracies (1,163,536 + 8,582).

What it shows

Six lists passed the threshold. The next one had 53,909 votes, about 4,700 short of the roughly 58,600 needed.

A gap of a few thousand votes decided whether a seventh party entered parliament, while the protocols contained more than twice as many inaccuracies.

Inaccuracies

If there had been no inaccuracies, or if their effect had been calculated exactly, the book concludes, the distribution of seats “could have been different”. Under Article 115 the proportional election was to be declared invalid if violations occurred that could have affected the results.

The same day, the district (majoritarian) and party-list votes were held at the same stations; their turnout did not match: see the turnout gap.

Source: “The Electoral Rights and Falsifications of Elections” (2010, in Armenian), the earlier Armenian book by the same author, which analyses the officially published figures of each election. The figures here are taken from it; page numbers refer to the PDF.

From the book

This article is based on the 2010 Armenian edition of Electoral Rights and Election Falsification by Lyudvig Khachatryan, which explains the full method, the formulas and the cases behind it.

Read the book on Amazon

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